How it works
The columns
- Rating
- Our Floor Score, 0 to 100. Built from hit rate, last 5, average vs the line, minutes or ice time, injuries, spreads, back to backs and NFL weather. 90+ is green, 75 to 89 yellow, under 75 red.
- Floor
- How often he cleared this line this season.
- L5
- How often he cleared it in his last 5 games.
- Avg / Cushion
- Season average for the stat, and how far that sits above the line. This is not a projection.
- Public %
- Share of moneyline tickets on his team, from public splits.
- Leverage
- Money % minus ticket % on his team's moneyline. Positive means bigger bettors lean his way more than the crowd.
- Line / Total
- Game moneyline favorite and over/under.
- Model %
- Our estimate that the leg hits: his season and last 5 hit rates blended and pulled slightly toward 50% so small samples do not look certain.
Combo slip
Each leg shows the market's implied chance at our last pull, with the time it was pulled. If we could not get a price for a leg, it shows no chance at all. The combined chance multiplies the legs together as if they were independent. Legs from the same game often move together, so treat it as rough. Est. payout per $10 is what fair odds at that chance would pay, before any fees.
Smart money and fade watch
From public betting splits. Smart money flags sides where the share of money is at least 10 points above the share of tickets. Fade watch flags sides with 70% or more of tickets where the money does not follow.
Props are limited to the stats with listed markets: NHL goals, points and assists; NBA points, rebounds, assists and threes; NFL passing yards, passing TDs, rushing yards, receiving yards and receptions. NBA props usually post on game day. Refreshed around 7:00 AM and about 90 minutes before the first game, Arizona time. Injuries, news and upcoming NFL games load live from ESPN when you open the page.
Sources
Data from ESPN, Action Network and Kalshi.